Malaysia Furniture – Recovery or Mini Boom?
Malaysia
furniture and timber listed companies are quite a few in Bursa. Most of the
companies are export oriented. With strengthening of US Dollar and recovery of
our manufacturing sector, it is time to look at this sector and some companies
as a whole.
According
to Malaysia Timber Council, Malaysia timber export in 2021 is valued at RM22.744
billion. In particular wood furniture has a clear trend of growing mainly
due to US-China trade dispute since 2019.
Malaysia Timber Council : http://mtc.com.my/resources-TradeInfo.php
Malaysia Timber Export in MYR Million
USA has become the largest export market for Malaysia furniture makers since 2019 US-China trade war.
Factors affecting the industry:
- Raw material – rubberwood
- Raw material – adhesive
(UF) – related to crude oil & more to fibreboard players.
- Labour cost and shortage –
Minimum wages of MYR 1,500 impact.
- Shipping cost – related to
crude oil and pandemic lockdown
- USD-MYR currency
UREA Price Chart
Positive Signs:
- Export increase in the
first two months of 2022 – refer to Malaysia Timber Council
- China lockdown which
resulted in severe port congestion
- USD-MYR favourable for
exporters although not much
- USA-China trade war,
USA-Canada trade war, Ukraine-Russa conflict (Russia banning export to
West)
- Easing of labour shortage
in Malaysia
Analysis by HLIB is upbeat on timber counter.
https://www.klsescreener.com/v2/news/view/973553/boom-in-wood-manufacturing-sector
Malaysia Export increase – Jan-Feb 2022
Quick
Summary
For furniture
sector, I like Pohuat and Liihen for the consistence dividen payout. Latitud
and Pohuat have overseas operations which are not affected so much of the
minimum wages hike. Pohuat, Liihen and Latitude have 90% export to USA market. Interesting
to know that most furniture exporters are cash rich companies.
Another
set players are particle board manufacturers such as Hevea, Evergreen, MIECO
and Focus lumber. Hevea is cash rich company and export to premium market like Japan.
Its share price still is still a lagger compared to Evergreen and MIECO. Focus
lumber is the only veneer supplier to USA market and commanding higher profit
margin. It’s share price has appreciated a lot. I prefer Hevea as it is still a
lagger.
Malaysia
is top 10 exporter according to MFI(not sure if this true). See below
Charts
Furniture Players
LiiHen
Potential Increase : RM3.70
Pohuat
Potential Increase : RM1.80
Latitud
Potential Increase : RM1.90
MDF players
Hevea
Potential Increase :
RM 0.65
MIECO
Potential Increase : RM
0.73
Evergreen
Potential Increase : RM1.00
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