Company : Lii Hen Industries Berhad – Big brother in furniture
Industry
Business :
Manufacture
wide range furniture products (office & home) and export to oversea with
North America constituted about 91% of the revenue. The factories are located
in Muar and Tangkak districts. Company also planting rubber trees in Johor.
Company is the clear leader in Malaysia furniture industry.
Fundamental
:
The
company has net cash of RM160 million (2020 report) and pay dividen every
quarter. Strong cash flow as products are exported oversea. Company is
profitable every year and revenue are increasing steadily from 2016 to 2020. It
is definitely a growth company. However, 2021 revenue will drop due to MCO
lockdowns.
5 years revenue
There
is clear sign of growth revenue from 216 to 2020. Probably due to trade-war
between China and USA. Both CAGR- revenue and PAT are showing growth.
Geography
break down of the revenue for 2020 is as follow.
Their
customers are US furniture importers, wholesalers and retailers. Company is a clear
beneficiary from USA-China trade war and has established strong foothold in NA
market.
Cost
of sales
Two major
costs are raw material and labour cost.
Lates
result at glance :
The
Q2 revenue and profit have dropped on YoY and QoQ basis. Primarily due to MCO
shutdowns. It has been 4 quarters on the row that revenue drop. However, company still manage to
chalk up 7.8 million profit despite challenging operating conditions (FMCO and container
shortage).
Comparing
to immediate preceding quarter, revenue and profit also dropped.
Demand
for the products is definitely there but disrupted by pandemic. Company has bought
a piece of land for expansion according to their 2019 annual report.
Risk
Shut
down:
It
is very clear that shutdown during FMCO has caused the revenue to drop. If
not wrong operation is only allowed on 17th August 2021, so there is
7 weeks shut down in Q3. Hence, Q3 result will not be favourable as well.
Raw
material cost:
Certain raw materials like particle, chipboards and carton boxes are on the rise. Hence profit margin will be squeezed
Shipment
cost and container shortage:
Shipment
delay and high container cost. There are total of 18,010 containers ship out in
2020. The increase of freight cost will definitely impact the sales. However,
it is not sure if their sales are on FOB or CIF basis. Global container
shortage is still an issue to company.
Technical
Analysis on Chart:
Price
has been dropping since mid Nov 2020 and bottom at support level RM2.90. Price
then move up to RM3.21.
Forecast
EPS & price
Date |
27 August 2021 |
Current Price |
RM3.21 |
||
EPS |
|||||
Quarter |
Q1 |
Q2 |
Q3 |
Q4 |
Total |
Forecast |
6.79 |
4.36 |
2 |
5 |
18.15 |
Actual |
6.79 |
4.36 |
|
|
|
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