Friday, July 30, 2021

RCE Capital Berhad _ Robust Money Lending Business


Company : RCE Capital Berhad

Business :

Money lending (personal financing) to government servants. A subsidiary of Amcorp Group. This is good business as payment is very secured (direct debit from salary). The profit margin is a whopping 45% !! Mana cari this kind business model?


 


 


 5 years revenue, profits and earning per share.


 


Q4 Result


 

Consistence revenue and profit for FY 2021. Hopefully they can maintain RM34 million profit every quarter throughout FY 2022.


The write-up by Maybank Investment bank (sometime ago) is very interesting. RCE Cap has a very similar business model to AEON Credit.


 

Prospect:

They are bidding for digital banking license with a consortium together with Star Media Group and Paramount Corp but I think chances are low. The low interest environment is good for RCE as it brings down their cost of funds. See below.

 

Malaysia emoluments for Government sector is growing every year and this bode well for RCE business. See chart below.

 


My view on share price:

Price has risen from mid Nov 2020 to all time of RM3.00 around June 2021. It is then dropped to current price of RM2.74. The support level is around RM2.55-RM2.60 and this is a good entry if you wish to buy some.



 

Dividen payout is pretty consistence and increasing every year from 2017. Forecast for FY 22 will be 14 cents.

 


 

Forecast earning & PE.

Current PE is 8.5 at RM2.74 (23 July 2021) and forecast EPS for FY2022 is 37 cents. So fair value should be RM 3.14 ! The coming Q1 result is very important indicator for FY2022 share price.

Q1

Q2

Q3

Q4

Total

9.0

9.0

9.5

9.5

37

 

This is one of the companies that invested by famous local investor, Cold Eye (I read most of his books).  At time of writing, I own RCE Capital shares for some time and will continue to keep till maximum appreciation.

 

3 comments:

  1. Hi. I like your sharing. How do we calculate and know when the share is max appreciation?

    ReplyDelete
  2. Hi, thanks for reading. The current PE that market gives to RCE is 8.5
    I estimate their next financial year full earning per share, EPS is 37 cents. So fair value should be 37 cents x 8.5 = RM3.145 so current price of RM2.70 is still not yet fully appreciated. Of course this is all depending on company performance next year but they seem able to achieve it.

    My updates are usually post in FB page : 股海老真

    Thanks

    ReplyDelete
  3. This comment has been removed by the author.

    ReplyDelete